Auspicious directions in 2023
Reference for auspicious days in 2023
Reconciliation of Tai Sui in 2023

Global Prediction for the Year of Rabbit

Introduction


It doesn’t matter how bitter or better the past has been, what we can do with the bitter or better past today is what matters. In the past three years, the world has been in rebellion and turmoil, with unfinished past events and future events coming back, even more chaos amid chaos. And things change in an instant, as though it was after the Chinese emperors Huan and Ling. The world has entered the situation of the Three Kingdoms Period in ancient China, perhaps even more and more complicated than that time, with more and greater damage and scourge. At that time, it only happened in China, but now the changes are happening all over the world. China, Russia, the United States, Europe, and the Five Eyes Alliance attack and suspect each other. No matter in politics, economics, trade, or people's livelihood, they have created great turmoil, and many people are troubled by disasters, wars, and the new coronavirus epidemic. Epidemic and natural disasters have caused chaos and countless deaths. Coupled with the coronavirus epidemic, new strains are still lingering. My predictions has harshly prophesied in 2019, and unfortunately it all came true.

The year of the Rabbit of 2023, many well-known experts in finance and political realms have been making very optimistic projections. That the global economy and people's livelihood will recover rapidly from the disaster of the coronavirus epidemic and return to the right track. I do not mean to spoil moods by splashing cold water onto warm hearts, but this is not a good year. Since 2019, I have been advising everyone to establish that sense of crisis, because we are facing a chaotic world. Whether it be in the East or the West; whether it is the Americas, Europe, or Asia; all is in chaos. Couple with the rise of protectionism in the USA and other Western European countries, the Cold War mentality has resurfaced. Struggles of nations becoming increasingly intense; the Russo-Ukrainian war has not yet been fully resolved. Moreover, the depletion of natural resources, the uneven distribution of energy such as petroleum and coal, soil degradation, sharp reduction of arable land, climate change, high temperature and extreme cold will lead to increasing food shortages. Since 2019, nationalism ha been rising, leading to racial conflicts, even genocide. On top of that, the deterioration of law and order, the proliferation of drugs, the infestation of new types of viruses, the selfishness and human error of leaders of various countries, coupled with the spectre-like terrorists who go out to do evil, natural and man-made disasters, and social issues, all combine to make people feel helpless.

In 2023, the heavenly stem being the beginning of spring, the moon pillar and heavens will bear the wood sign; the power of the earthly fire and the earth will be strongest and indestructible. These portends to strong nations vying for top leadership in endless struggles. The Mao sign, is a rabbit sign. Its main traits being virtuous and tame; yet, the rabbit is naturally wary and suspicious. It is thus hoped that with the dexterity of a rabbit, through tenacious struggles, determination, and perseverance, may you tide over the difficulties. In the past year, the world has experienced unprecedented huge waves, the coronavirus, and almost engulfed the global economy. I remember that at the end of 2019, I predicted that the world would be infected by an epidemic. Who would have expected such a situation indeed. Looking back on 2022, the global economy is in trouble due to the COVID epidemic. The epidemic in leading western countries such as the United States and the United Kingdom has infected millions of people and even killed them. There are many unemployed people. Although the European and American governments have printed more money, small businesses still find life difficult and the losses are severe. Yet, most people still use the money subsidized by the government for speculative investments and ventures, pushing up the stock and financial market, and even the virtual currency into fluctuations- causing the asset price to remain high despite the poor economy; the real economy and the virtual economy are now running completely in counter to each other. We are still in the whirlpool of huge waves, because the economy and values have been seriously distorted, the global economy is like drinking poison to quench thirst, and the danger is unspeakable. What can we do from now on?

Looking at the 2023, it is the year where administrators undergo turmoil, and thus in the year of the Rabbit, the world economy and politics will be undergoing major changes. According to the zodiac calculation of the Rabbit year, the First of Spring Day is February 14, 2022, that is, the fourteenth day of the first month of the lunar calendar (10:47) is when we officially enter the Year of the Rabbit. Only then is anyone who is thus born after said day (that is First of Spring Day) is a Rabbit based on the numerology and zodiac. From the beginning of spring, the four pillars are: the year of Rabbit, the month of Jiayin, the day of Guisi, and the time of Dingsi. Yen Gui soil is weak in water and soil, surrounded by fire and wood in all directions, especially the Gui soil is a long stream of water, and is not afraid of the mutual leakage of fire and wood. In the second half of the year, the economy and people's livelihood will slowly embark on the pace of recovery. Although there are still a lot of quarrels, and the hidden evil is still there, it is certainly a year of repeated ups and downs.

America

It is inferred that the economy of America in 2023 will gradually recover from the COVID epidemic. In addition, the speed of recovery will be becoming more obvious than before, and it is beneficial to industries with multiple levels of sectors. Internal consumption power is gradually increasing. In particular, the real estate market has begun to rise steadily, and housing construction and transactions have improved. The unemployment rate is expected to fall back below 6%. In addition, individual banking or financial sectors have seen good performances.

In mid-2023, the United States will meet interest rate hikes, and the quantitative easing program will be slowly delisted after the summer. In 2023, due to the serious circulation, the interest rate will increase after the middle of the year, and the speed will be faster; the interest rate will be increased three times, and it will exceed 2.5-3%.

I had predicted the collapse of the financial real estate market in 2008, in order to seek improvements from the double-digit unemployment rate, as well as the enterprises, banks, and automobile manufacturing industries that are on the verge of bankruptcy. The US government's easing of monetary policy and printing paper to rescue the market will indeed delay the US economic recession, or even make it a soft landing. However, the method of treating the pains as they come along will only bring about a stagflation economy that lasts for more than 9 years. The US government has also resorted to bullying China in trade and militarily after 2019 in order to attempt to allay the consequences of its large-scale money printing. In particular, the active repression of China’s high-tech and electronic communication industries is even more severe, and the global pressure boycott of Huawei 5G and the Meng Wanzhou incident makes this even more telling.

From 2008 to 2022, the impact of Venus and Mercury will weaken the performance of the US manufacturing, financial, export and other industries, especially high-tech industries such as medical care, medicine, and energy. The mining industry will be the engine of economic recovery. Other catering, auto, retail, and real estate industries will perform well after August.

The global economic turmoil, the Russian-Ukrainian war, the weaker economies of European countries, on the contrary, have brought prosperity to the US economy; the export of energy and weapons has increased. Coupled with continuing pressure to buy US bonds, the US economy can see an upswing by profiting from other’s natural disasters and war.

Yet for many years, the United States has manipulated her financial hegemony, politicized the economy, and people's livelihoods. In recent years, the printing of money has been irresponsible, driving up property prices and the stock market, seriously overexerting the foundations of the US and even the world economy. With hyperinflation on the horizon, the U.S. economy is likely to fall into recession during 2023. The Federal Reserve's misjudgment of the situation has led to a lag in monetary policy. Coupled with international political reasons, the Fed will vigorously raise interest rates this year to respond, but it may exacerbate the risk of a hard landing. The closer issue is the hot-potato's inflation problem; the further is the strengthening of its own manufacturing plan, yet its progress is not obvious. Being in the exalted place of the top nation in the world, the USA in 2023 is at risk of losing her financial hegemony, shaking the world.

In recent decades, the United States has actively expanded the service industry, financial industry, engaged in deindustrialization, using the resources of developing countries to meet their own production needs- taking advantage of its pioneering role in globalization of the international division of labour. This led to an imbalance in the economic and industrial structure, and the widening gap between the rich and the poor. The showing symptoms of weakness is not without cause. The development of the financial industry has gradually deviated from the industrial model of serving the real economy. In the name of innovation, financial derivatives are widely used, leverage is infinitely amplified, and profits are frantically pursued at the expense of all else. The 2008 subprime mortgage crisis is one symptom of these ills. At the beginning of the COVID-19 outbreak in 2020, the international supply chain was broken, and it exposed that even the most basic public health security in the United States was in a mess, causing a global uproar. In the face of the epidemic, the United States simply pledged financial hegemony, implemented unlimited margins, and ultra-low interest rates near zero; the Ministry of Finance continued to borrow and subsidize households, and the market was flooded with liquidity; it pushed up asset prices, the stock market, the property market, and hot activity in cryptocurrency speculation. The stock market is hot, retail investors are betting on big companies, property prices are soaring, there are no jobs, and wages and prices are spiralling upwards, all of which are products of a crazy era. In fact, American entrepreneurs have started to sound the alarm in 2022, saying that there is a "feeling of a surreal recession" in the current economy and that "the worst recession" is imminent. The most profitable technology companies in the past are now slowing down recruitment and even layoffs. The trend of capital is the first to reflect the trend. The actions of companies indicate that the recession in the United States will definitely come in 2023.

Inflation in the United States is high, at a nearly 40-year high, and the Middle East oil-producing countries have experienced a period of investment slump in the past, the ability to cooperate with production increases is really limited; In addition, the high tariffs between China and the United States are still undecided, and the chip bill related to revitalizing the manufacturing industry will not be passed by Congress this year, and even the chip giants are dejected and stop their manufacturing expansion plans in the United States.

The U.S. economy itself cannot be guaranteed, so the White House will only actively spend its time trying to make trouble in the international arena, and will not give up if it does not see the global economy suffer at least as much as the U.S. themselves. The United States, the super rhino, will go berserk at any time, and its Western European allies will also fall into recession in 2023 financially and economically. Coupled with the outbreak of the energy crisis, the world's confidence in the Western economic system will be greatly reduced. To get rid of the control of the Western United States, de-dollarization has become the core idea.

In contrast, China will continue to vigorously control the development of the financial and technology industries in 2023 to ensure that they will not be allowed to develop uncontrollably, and even have systemic hidden dangers. At the same time, it has established the manufacturing industry as the foundation of the economy, and fully promoted the upgrading and transformation, which is supporting the failure mode that does not want to go to the Western economy. The world is undergoing a major reshuffle. Everyone must be mentally prepared. This adversity will last for a long time. We should take the initiative to reset assets, retain cash strength, and diversify risks. It is a top priority.

The Dow Jones Index in the United States has reached a new high. I once appraised that the Dow Jones Index will soar to more than 33,000 points from September to early October 2021, and the overall decline in 2022, but it will still be a big ups and downs, and stocks will continue to trade at 32,500 to 32,500 The level of 34,000 is up and down, and it will fall back sharply during the period. Investors should do what they can, as there is a chance for a pullback of 29,000 points or less after mid-year. This year, the US will raise interest rates at least three times, making the US dollar a strong currency, rising against major international currencies, and a chance to rise slightly against the yen to 130 or above: against the euro, the US dollar will see a level of 0.8 euros or above; USD/CAD will recover to 1.28-1.30. The price of gold will see volatility, and its volatility will be astonishing, rising to between $1850 and 1980 per ounce, looking forward to 2023, energy prices will rise sharply, oil has a chance to rise by $110 per barrel or more, but also extremely fluctuating: Retail investors should leave the market to watch from the side-lines, so as not to be killed due to greed. In this year, commodities, futures, and precious metals are all high and low prices, and investors who do not have enough strength to prevent them from becoming big players.

In international relations, the role of the United States as an international police officer has gradually faded, especially in the 20-year war in Afghanistan; especially when the US was defeated in its vast withdrawal of troops, which aroused the dissatisfaction of Western allies and questioned its status as the International Big Brother.

Relations with China are tense. In 2023, there will be more tariffs on Sino-US trade as well as obstructive foreign policy and economic policies; Meetings between the United States and Japan on the Asia-Pacific policy, together with India, Australia, New Zealand, Vietnam, will be jointly targeting China and North Korea. However, in the Middle East and Central Asia, such as Iran, Afghanistan and other Islamic countries, U.S. relationship and influence there is getting worse and worse. Terrorist activities and the arrests caused by terrorist activities will be increased. The war in Europe and other regions and the subsequent huge military expenditure is also a major expenditure of the US government, and even the looming risk of sending troops to participate in the war again in the wake of an international annual meeting.

The Biden administration will withdraw its troops from the Middle East, but it wants to strengthen its military power in the South China Sea, the Pacific Ocean, and the Taiwan Strait in order to control China and gain military and economic interests. But it will be all talk and no action, coupled with many obstructions by the Republican Party in Congress, the ruling party lost in the mid-term elections and struggled to govern. In addition, the rise of racism in the country has turned into more chaotic in policy, which will caused economic, people's livelihood and political problems, casting a shadow in the outlook.

U.S. President Joe Biden's popularity has plummeted. In 2023, he will make another extremely wrong political blunder, and his health will be in trouble. As for the internal security of the United States, the rate of corruption, commercial crime, prostitution, drug dealing, and juvenile crime is still high, and shooting activities, schools and public places are frequent. I once criticized that there will be school or mass public shootings in the United States every year. Unfortunately, the criticism is accurate, and it will become more serious in 2023.

This year, there will be scandals in American politics, entertainment, and political and economic circles, and there will be accidental deaths of famous people. In addition, natural disasters were also frequent in the United States in the Rabbit year, especially in the central US, where there were dangers of water and fire, natural disasters, and explosions. On the east coast, there were blizzards, snowstorms, and large-scale traffic accidents. And there will be heavyweight political and economic figures or celebrities passing away.

Overall, the U.S. economy will recover from the COVID epidemic this year, but the quality of life of the average American middle- and lower-class people will become worse. In addition, its influence and prestige in the international political arena are gradually declining. But there will be an opportunity for the U.S. to start another foreign war.

Canada

In the year of Rabbit, the overall economy of Canada will be greatly affected by the US economy. However, because Canada's financial and economic system has always been relatively rigid and conservative, it will not have much impact and loss in the financial tsunami. However, due to the impact of the COVID epidemic on people's livelihood and economy, a certain blow has been made.

It is fortunate that the foundation of Canada’s growth is in the export of Oil, Minerals, and Precious Metals. These prices will see a recovery in 2023. This recovery of crude oil and precious metals will help Canada's economy to some extent. But the rate of economic recovery from the COVID epidemic will be slower, even worse than the United States. In the first half of 2023, the livelihood economy of Canada's west coast and east coast provinces will decline repeatedly; meanwhile the prairies provinces’ economy will see a rebound. Exports are expected to improve in the second half of 2023, and the economies of Edmonton and Albert are slowly coming out of the bottom. The economic and real estate activities of the Prairie Provinces in the central region and British Columbia on the west coast are also more prosperous, both due to the global food shortage, which has helped Canada's exports and prices of wheat and its non-staple food products to increase. Toronto has traditionally been Canada's financial and commercial economic activity centre, so its economy is better than British Columbia's, with better growth in retail, wholesale, and export industries. In addition, there are good prices and buyers for agricultural products, energy, minerals, natural gas, and oil in the central region in the international market, which will positively help Canada's economy this year. But the overall economy will not stabilize until after the fall of the second half of 2023.

I predict that Canada's national production will rise to 2~2.5% in the year of Rabbit while inflation will rise to 5% or above, and unemployment rate will rise to 6.5~7% or above. I predict that Canada's national production will rise to 2~2.5% in the year of Rabbit, while inflation will rise to 5% or above, and unemployment rate will rise to 6.5~7% or above. Overall Canada's exports and manufacturing industries will gradually recover in the second half of the year, with slight growth. In particular, telecommunications, crude oil, wood, electronics, etc. will better, and some construction materials, machinery, automobiles, medical and other industries will have a certain increase in the second half of the year. Chiefly, the overall internal economy will become more active, especially the retail, catering, wholesale, and financial industries will improve to a certain extent. Also due to the rise in oil and natural gas prices, the Canadian dollar will continue to maintain a steady upward trend this year, but the Canadian interest rate will rebound to a high level of preferential interest rate, reaching 6%. There will be an increase of 1.5~2% after the middle of 2023. In terms of stocks, the weighted index has a chance to drop by more than 10~12%. The Canadian financial market will have large ups and downs, and there are not many transactions. It would be easy for large investors to make waves in the market. Therefore, it is not possible for ordinary public investors to make money in the stock and financial markets. It is better to invest in bonds or hold Canadian dollars.

When it comes to politics, I once predicted that after 2005, the Canadian government will definitely undergo a dynastic change. The Liberals will go down because of scandals- the Conservatives became a minority government after three general elections from 2005 to 2012, wasting much wealth and prosperity of the nation. The Liberal Party then came to power again in 2017 and formed a strong government; however, there has been a lack of long-term policies and strategies, coupled with endless scandals. 2019, the NDP of British Columbia took the stage and will implement bread and circus policies; there will be positive comments at the beginning, but later on it will lead the public to see the high public debt- that the social consequences will be great. And, only by relying on Asia-Pacific trade and reducing over-reliance on the United States, as well as strengthening exports of energy, communications, raw materials, and high-tech services and goods, can the economy be prevented from falling again. There will be some cleverly named taxes this year, levying heavy taxes by the government; coupled with the rising interest rates, the ordinary citizens will suffer a lot more. The cancellation of the Overseas Assets Declaration Law will not happen. People from China, Hong Kong and Taiwan will returned to their places of origin after naturalization, and some wealthy people will invest in the United States instead, which has a certain negative impact on the overall economy of Canada. Therefore, Canada must strengthen economic and trade exchanges with the Asia-Pacific region, especially China, in order to slowly recover from the economic recession.

Looking back at the past 10 years, the economic exchanges between China and Canada have been very good, and Chinese people have frequently visited and invested in Canada, attracting a lot of investment from Asia and China to Canada. Although there are many Chinese who want to immigrate to Canada, due to policy obstacles, such as high requirements on language proficiency and complicated application procedures, it often takes ten or eight years before they can be naturalized, which discourages them. Coupled with the increasingly serious racial conflicts, the relationship between China and Canada has fallen to the bottom, and finally people who want to immigrate to Canada are not allowed to enter. This makes them switch to Singapore, Europe, the United Kingdom, Australia, New Zealand, the United States and other places.

This year, Canadian citizens who have returned to Hong Kong in the past will have the opportunity to return to Canada. In 1993, I judged Canada as a sieve-like place, especially Vancouver as an outflow and inflow city.The 2021 federal election, as predicted by myself, will only cost the people and the economy, and spend 700 million Canadian dollars in electoral expenses, but nothing changes. The Liberal Party once again came to power with a minority government, but it did not help the economy much because there is very little they can work with, but it was better than the previous government. At least there is no federal election this year, so people can breathe a sigh of relief.

There are still natural and man-made disasters in Canada in the 2023 Rabbit year, everyone should drive carefully. Because of the abnormal weather, I once estimated that in the summer of 2021, the temperature in Vancouver will be so hot that it will rise to 40 degrees, which is regarded as a myth by ordinary people, but it has become a fact. In 2023, the weather will also be extremely cold and hot, and wildfires will be serious. This year, we must also be careful about wildfires and floods, poor public security, sexual scandals, and gang shootings. Juvenile delinquency, serious gang crime, shootings, and burglaries remain high. You should seek more blessings yourself.

China

In the year of Rabbit, China's national fortunes will face obstacles and impacts that have never been seen in the past 20 years in major projects such as economy, politics, and finance. It can be said that auspiciousness hides evil, and evil hides auspiciousness; first of all, there will be political changes and a stable year will be seen again.

This year, there will be new economic policies and macro changes. The central government will vigorously suppress the monopoly and conglomeration of giant enterprises, especially in industries such as online trade, high-tech, online games, and financial real estate. The central government emphasizes that buildings are used for living, not for speculation. Many real estate developers will face difficulties and even go bankrupt due to the interruption of the capital chain. In addition, there will be innovative policies in sectors such as education, finance, and even universal healthcare in 2023. In particular, the crackdown on financial lending and virtual currencies has become more stringent to prevent capital outflows, which will arouse the unease of many vested interests and political opponents.

A number of policies will be introduced to introduce loose monetary funds into infrastructure projects. For example, vigorously develop the economic and infrastructure development of inland cities, especially open up the high-speed rail linking the north and the south, the development channel of the western provinces, the development of mineral energy in the northwest, etc., and encourage the development of the foreign economy through the Belt and Road Initiative. For high-tech, medical care, education, substantially improving people's livelihood, reducing the inequality gap between the rich and the poor, and encouraging people to consume internally.

New policies will be introduced to prevent companies from using money laundering methods such as borrowing overseas or investing in overseas listings, to prevent speculation and capital reselling, and there will be a more robust system for foreign investors or speculators than before. It will also build up Hong Kong’s status of an offshore RMB centre, strengthen the participation control of Hong Kong's political system and economy, and stimulate domestic and foreign economic and internal growth to maintain overall economic growth.

In 2023, China's GDP will slightly decline to 4.5%, but export trade will gradually stabilize in the second half of the year. However, this year, the central government will release facilities to stimulate the economy and encourage internal consumption, especially for finance, tourism, retail, catering, consumption, insurance, energy, minerals, steel and metals. Regarding the real estate speculation, stockpiling and the dominance of large enterprises, the central government will continue to use gradually loose policies to control and reduce the pressure.

In the year of Rabbit, the Yuanyun Guishui is the main star of China's fleeting years. Only the four pillars have no roots, and they are completely undissolved, and they are more damaged by the leakage of fire wood. This year is one of the years of trials. The quality of life of the Chinese people has also gradually improved. The COVID epidemic will be basically controlled in China in the summer of 2023, so the movement of the national economy will gradually become more active, and there will be opportunities for its development in big cities. However, behind the economic prosperity, the introduction of internal consumption will indirectly cause inflation. Fortunately, the correction of property prices will help people's livelihood.

Only the prices of imported goods have skyrocketed, manufacturing has become more expensive, and inflation has been severe, with real inflation exceeding 6-7%. Economy opening up, export trade and manufacturing are still growing, but growth is slowing down. The open and pragmatic policy is good for bringing prosperity to certain sectors, but the downside is that the internal economic expansion is too fast and overheating, with the gap between the rich and the poor is becoming more and more intense.

China's stock market will see a price and volume correction. Shanghai and Shenzhen A and B shares will have a 10% to 12% adjustment. If you have spare money, you can consider investing in some powerful financial, technology and energy stocks, which will have good returns in the long run. Basically, it is not the general public investors who can make money in the stock and financial markets. If the incapable retail investors go and avoid them, they will be caught by surprise and become the snacks of the big players and the big crocs. Therefore, retail investors should not be greedy, leave the market as soon as possible, and stay away from the speculative market in order to be safe. The RMB will weaken relatively, and there will be 3-5% room for downward adjustment, but the volatility will be slow, which can reduce the impact on people's livelihood.

In 2023, China's real estate market has slowed down due to last year's central control policy, but this year's policy has changed. The easing policy will help the real estate market, especially in first-tier popular cities. For the whole year, there will be a 10-15% decline. Only after the fall in the second half of the lunar calendar, the influx of domestic and foreign investment, and the wind of speculation at the end of the year will be hot again, whether real estate or real economic investment, finance, and real estate activities will rise. Coupled with the simplification of the administrative system by the central government and the establishment of "free trade zones" such as Shanghai, Shenzhen, Qianhai, Hengqin, the Greater Bay Area, etc., it will attract foreign capital and investment intentions, and look for opportunities to invest here, which will help China's financial and economic system in the long run. After the autumn of the Rabbit year, the real estate will first fall and then rebound, but there are repeated situations in different provinces. Only because the rigid demand has great support for China's real estate, the long-term decline will not last long.

On the other hand, some second-tier cities such as Tianjin, Chengdu, Zhengzhou, Shenyang, Hangzhou, Chongqing, etc. will have relatively obvious corrections, and even some cities will have a decline of 15% or more. In the Pearl River Delta, Guangzhou and Shenzhen, which are adjacent to Hong Kong and Macau, there will be a correction in land prices and the decline will be 8% or more. Therefore, throughout the year, China's property market will be a year to stabilize the basic market. It can be said that it will fall sharply and it will be difficult to rise sharply.

Throughout the year of Rabbit in 2023, it is a year in which small auspiciousness hides the great evil, and the great evil hides the small auspiciousness. The world, people's livelihood, economy, and even the climate is unpredictable. In the hidden situation, everyone must stick to their posts and not be greedy or seek for more happiness. It is sincerely hoped that the Chinese people will help each other and understand each other, avoid the mentality of sweeping the snow before each family's door, and ignore the frost on the roof of others, and create a year that is more stable, higher, more beautiful, and better in health amid the ups and downs of the economy.

Taiwan

Throughout the year of Rabbit 2023 Taiwan fortune, it is a year of repeated downturns, and the economy and politics are still in a situation of turmoil. But because of this year's star signs in Taiwan for Mercury to enter the Earth Palace, and Mars to be in Yinmu's Palace, the Lord star has the opportunity to make a breakthrough. Yet, the political and economic environment this year will be worse than that of the past ten years due to the incompatibility of civil affairs, the ineffective management of the DPP government and leadership; the decline of prestige, and the turbulent economic and people's livelihood, especially the deterioration of relations with China.

In terms of politics, the prestige of the Democratic Progressive Party will fall; in addition, Tsai Ing-wen and the government formed by it still lack good policies, the economy is not good enough, and they are hostile to China and cooperate with the United States and Western countries to oppose China. Therefore, frequent military activities in the Taiwan Strait will happen. Fortunately, there will be no serious wars this year.

Looking forward to the Rabbit year in 2023, Taiwan's economy and people's livelihood will still be volatile, with no significant progress and recovery in both export and domestic sales. This year, the Taiwanese locality will be established in the East this year, and the location is not good. People's livelihood is suffering, public security is deteriorating, and the situation is getting worse, and the public morality cases, gun robberies, smuggling cases, commercial crimes, and fraud cases are even more serious. Youth unemployment is particularly serious, financial fluctuations, the Taiwan Weighted Index will fall, and the volatility is large, but it can still fluctuate at the 11,500-13,500 mark. Inflationary pressure is on the rise, and the New Taiwan dollar will fall against the US dollar. Retail investors should not participate in the speculation of stocks or foreign exchange, and should stay away from the speculative market. Taiwan real estate will see a correction, especially in southern provinces, but Taipei or Taichung, Taoyuan, Tianmu, can be considered for long-term investment.

After the realization of the three links between Taiwan and mainland China, exchanges in business, tourism, and culture have become frequent. However, due to the emergence of the COVID epidemic in 2019, Sino-US relations have deteriorated, and people's livelihood and economic activities have decreased. This has a negative impact on Taiwan's real economy, national psychology, and ideology, and the upsurge of Taiwanese migrating overseas has cooled. On the contrary, a large number of funds, talents, and technologies have been transferred to China or Southeast Asian countries, and funds have been transferred abroad, whether it is tourism, consumption, investment, intermarriage and settlement. The trend is increasing day by day. All of this will have an impact on Taiwan's people's livelihood and economy, but it will help to create a harmonious atmosphere between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait in the future.

I have also predicted that Taiwan will have frequent typhoons from 2009 to 2018, and the number of typhoons will decrease from 2019 to 2021, but the new crown epidemic will appear. In 2023, typhoons in Taiwan will be more common, but there will be no serious earthquakes; there will be water and fire hazards and traffic accidents are common, which will cause huge losses to people's livelihood and economy.

Hong Kong

Looking forward to the year of Rabbit in 2023, people's livelihood in Hong Kong will encounter difficulties due to the sequelae of the new crown epidemic. Fortunately, China and Hong Kong will also be blessed in the ninth year of the next Yuan (2024-2043).

In the year of 2023, due to the fleeting years of "earth, fire and water", the three bureaus leaked, and the disputes and disputes between the top and bottom of Hong Kong over the years have been alleviated. The strengthening of the central government's influence on Hong Kong's people's livelihood, economic policies and control will be beneficial to Hong Kong's preferential economic policies in the long run. Only due to the impact of the epidemic, China and Hong Kong will have the hope of full customs clearance at the end of 2022. In the second half of 2023, China will meet again with new policies on tourism, people's livelihood and economy, which will benefit Hong Kong's tourism industry. Free travel is expected to resume, but the response will not be overwhelming. Hong Kong's status as China's RMB offshore centre and Asian financial centre will remain unchanged; The central government will also strengthen its efforts to cement Hong Kong's status as a financial centre. However, traditional industries are declining, and Hong Kong has always had four economic pillars: real estate, finance, logistics, and tourism. Among them, there is no chance of making a profit in real estate speculation and investment. In the financial industry, many state-owned enterprises will return to Hong Kong from the United States to list, which will bring new impetus to Hong Kong's economy. In the past, Hong Kong’s logistics and transportation were second to none in the world, but now they have fallen back by several orders of magnitude. They are far outnumbered by Singapore, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Amsterdam, etc., leaving only the financial and information industries.

This year's high-end consumption is expected to return, but there is a shortage of manpower in all walks of life. If wages are vigorously raised, businessmen will face difficulties in their operations; fortunately, the overall industrial and commercial and retail rents will be adjusted, which will positively help the consumption and retail industries. Small and low-tech industries will face closure. Hong Kong manufacturers who are accustomed to wind and waves will switch places, move to Southeast Asia or other low-wage places to continue production. Fortunately, there are new policies that can ease the difficulties of enterprises. In the next three to five years, Hong Kong is expected to become the economic integration of China's Silicon Valley, Shenzhen and the Greater Bay Area. It will be of great help to emerging industries such as Chinese medicine port, IT, electronics, information, and online finance. Although the profit will be reduced, but it will still feel promising. It is only natural that labor costs will rise, material prices will rise, construction costs will rise, and inflation will rise. Although some immigrated overseas, but as they say, "some people resigned to return to their hometowns, and some people rushed to the classroom overnight." And at the same time, many new Chinese immigrants came to Hong Kong. Therefore, although there will be adjustments in property prices, at most 8~10% callback, but it is difficult to see a sharp decline.

In the year of Rabbit, the Hong Kong stock market will look good but it will actually be bad. Although in the second half of the year, it will attract foreign and Chinese capital to list in Hong Kong. Property stocks are the backbone of the economy for Hong Kong people, and they are willing to spend if they make money in the market. Therefore, Hong Kong's retail, catering, finance, etc. this year will also be better than last year. The general public should only do what they can; this year the stock market will plummet from time to time. Those with self-occupation needs may wish to buy a property as needed, but speculating and selling stocks in the property market should not be done.

Most of the infrastructure policies introduced by the government in 2023 will be passed, which will greatly help strengthen the economy and reduce unemployment. Only the property market will fall, and basically the price will have a 7-10% correction. While the Hang Seng Index rises and has a chance to break through 18,000 points or above, everyone should pay attention to the situation. Land prices have been falling back and forth, with a drop of about 7-10%. If you have spare money and want to buy a property for investment, you should wait for the opportunity. It is advisable to enter the market in autumn or at the end of the year, and you should choose mid- to high-priced properties. For low-priced or subdivided flats, do not touch at all- there is a risk of loss. Housing in Kowloon or the New Territories will be at risk and should not be speculated. However, after the correction in the middle of the year, there is spare money to enter the market for long-term investment, and the returns are not bad. On the contrary, in the southern and eastern districts of Hong Kong Island, property prices are relatively hard and land prices are relatively stable, but if you do not have sufficient funds, you should not speculate in the market - because the property market is a very volatile year.

The RMB will have a chance to see 90 cents against the Hong Kong dollar, but the Hong Kong dollar will rebound by 3~5% against major international currencies such as the euro, the Australian dollar and the Japanese yen. However, there is no hope of decoupling from the peg of 7.8 against the US dollar.

Throughout the Rabbit year, the mix of administrator-ship and evils, reflects the fact that the government is becoming increasingly tough and there is still a gap and lack of communication between the people's livelihood and the general public. Whether it be a company or an individual, one should handle interpersonal relationships well, use softness to control rigidity, and tolerate each other, which will have a win-win situation for individuals or the whole people's livelihood and society.

This year, four greens will enter the Central Palace, five yellows will enter the position of gold in the northwest, the military, political and legal person will be the leading chief executive, and John Lee Ka-chiu will be the government, which will govern Hong Kong strongly. This year, Jiu Zi is in the north, and Kanshui is a malevolent star, which is mainly a sign of youth. It can be seen that young people in Hong Kong lack practical goals and directions, and will act blindly in everything, which has a negative impact on themselves and the society. Regarding politics and people's livelihood, the voices for Hong Kong independence will gradually subside, which will help the society and people's livelihood to stabilize and harmoniously.

Throughout the year of Rabbit, Hong Kong will be a year of strong external strength and internal cadence, and repeated upward progress. Yet at the same time feeble in the core foundations. I note that all the friends of you in all aspects should be flexible, diligent, self-improving, and down-to-earth. Don't be too ambitious, and use softness to control rigidity. It is also necessary to keep in mind that "fortune comes from misfortune, and misfortune comes from blessing". As long as we seek more blessings from ourselves, we can achieve everything and be invincible.